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This market is hastening a future that has been terrifying Wall Street for years

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In the future, they keep telling us, investors will pay lower fees to run their money around the world. This is a future that upends a business model Wall Street and hedge funds have known for decades, with relatively inexpensive passive index funds largely replacing high-fee active management.

This future terrifies the industry.

The thing is, because of the weird and scary market we're in, this bizarro future is headed for Wall Street like a Mack truck. A report published by Bank of America Merrill Lynch on Wednesday has some great data to back up the move from active to passive funds.

The future, my friends, looks like this:

active passive managers chart

Has anyone told Bernie Sanders about this? He could use some good news.

Yes, this is a future in which money is sucked from an industry that since the 1990s has become a behemoth: the $3 trillion hedge fund industry.

Active managers, the so-called Masters of the Universe who have been charging high fees for generating this thing called "alpha" (uncorrelated returns that beat the market) — will have a smaller share of everyone's money.

It's no secret that they haven't been generating impressive, uncorrelated returns in this market. In the first half of 2016 the average active manager returned 0.8%.

You can blame crowding. You can say the industry is too big. Whatever. That doesn't change the fact that the strategies that were working immediately after the financial crisis are no longer working and that those strategies mostly involved everyone chasing a few ideas around the market, some ridiculous financial engineering through tax restructuring and mergers and acquisitions, and everyone generally doing the same kind of thing as one another.

From BAML:

"Activist campaigns, self-help via spin-offs/divestitures, buybacks and deals were rewarded by investors for most of the post-crisis era. But these drivers are now destroying alpha, as investors grow less enamored of catalyst-driven opportunities, are more worried about balance sheets, and want to see organic growth. With deals being struck at higher multiples, and buybacks executed at higher prices, acquirers have underperformed this year, and share buybacks have lagged for over two years. This smacks of a late stage bull market: the levers of cheap financing and corporate re-tooling have been largely exhausted."

The perfect example of this change is a simple, stupid strategy that no longer works: A manager used to be able to buy the top 10 stocks held by active managers in the market, hold them, and beat the market.

Now the opposite is true. The 10 least crowded stocks have been beating the market. In fact, in the first half of this year the least crowded stocks beat the most crowded stocks by 18%.

So hedge fund land, that's why we're out.

Grudge match at Shady Pines

We the people — who have had our money sitting in pension funds and the like — are all heading to passive low-fee equity index funds in droves. We are favoring baskets of stocks administrated by robots and allowed to run their course in the market with little management, like exchange-traded funds.

This is a future that terrifies a lot of Wall Street, especially hedge fund land. As for everyone else in the industry, lower fees are lower fees. They mean there is less to go around.

And people are passionate about this stuff.

It's why Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, the biggest investor in the world and a big advocate of passive investing, almost got into fisticuffs with Carl Icahn, a champion of the active side for decades, in what can only be considered one of the most awkward Wall Street dad-bro celebrity grudge matches of 2015.

"I think BlackRock is an extremely dangerous company ... Not that Larry is dangerous ... What BlackRock is doing ... what is happening is very dangerous in our markets today," Icahn said.

Fink was visibly upset, to say the least.

Icahn Fink

This isn't anything people haven't been saying for years. Market participants have been carrying out a rather polite discussion about high fees in hedge fund land for years; it's just that now the dollars are moving toward low-fee passive funds at a faster pace. The market is making people scared, and they are starting to realize that the masters haven't mastered it at all.

As Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management said on the podcast "Hard Pass" (hosted by me and my Business Insider colleague Josh Barro) this week:

"No I'm not in the active management business. I don't believe in active management, actually. It's too expensive. It doesn't earn its keep. I recommend mostly index-fund solutions to people when I build portfolios. Not necessarily own the S&P 500 — I think there's room to be a little smarter than that. There are ways to index that over long periods of time can provide excess returns or less volatility or higher current yield. But overall I used to think my job was to find the best stocks or the best managers. It didn't take long to realize, 'Oh, this doesn't work,' because whatever worked best last year doesn't work best this year."

To hear the rest of Josh Brown's guest spot on "Hard Pass," listen below:

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SEE ALSO: Hedge fund managers have the lamest excuses for why they stink right now

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The Herbalife saga shows that Bill Ackman thinks he's too good for short selling

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bill ackman

Wall Street knows that short selling is a dangerous game. Because they are borrowing a stock, not simply owning it, short sellers risk losing more than the money they put down.

Some great investors don't even touch the stuff.

And on Friday, Pershing Square's Bill Ackman gave them another reason to hold their noses. He lost his three-year campaign against the multilevel marketing nutrition company Herbalife after the Federal Trade Commission and the company reached a deal in which the company avoided being called a pyramid scheme — Ackman had told Wall Street in no uncertain terms that the stock was going to zero.

Telling everyone his belief was the problem.

That promise to ride the stock all the way down took away the only magic power a short seller has — the ability to manipulate time. Try asking why a short seller decided to go public on a specific position at a certain time. The person won't tell you. The short seller might tell you how to theoretically consider timing, but that's like explaining to someone why planes can take off the ground. You get it, sure, but that doesn't mean you will build one and fly away.

You can see that the structure of the campaign made it impossible for Ackman to manipulate timing. It was never his intention to allow people to forget that he was holding the position (the fickleness of memory is another one of the short seller's greatest weapons).

Perhaps you recall this fun three-hour, live-streamed, Herbalife-bashing party Ackman threw back in the summer of 2014, more than a year after he had announced the position and gotten into a verbal altercation with Carl Icahn on live television.

"...everyone who showed up for Ackman's Tuesday presentation — or tuned into the internet livestream — remembered what Icahn said on TV over a year before.

"They remembered it as Ackman's talk passed the hour mark, then the two-hour mark and the three-hour mark.

"They remembered it as Ackman compared Herbalife's top brass to everything from Nazis to Mafiosos and drug dealers. And they remembered it as they watched Herbalife's stock rocket up 24% for the day, making a mockery of Ackman's crusade.

"They remembered it when Ackman — describing his family's connection to the American Dream as the presentation (almost) neared its climax — actually cried."

How's anyone ever going to forget about that?

bill ackman

Eat my (activist) shorts

What's funny about all of this is that Ackman went on CNBC on Thursday and criticized Citron Research's Andrew Left for doing the very thing he was too righteous to do in this campaign — for manipulating time.

Left, you'll recall, is the man whose questions about Valeant's accounting back in October set off a series of events that brought the company, another Ackman position, to its knees. Earlier this week Left said he had initiated a short position in the company once again after going long. Ackman scoffed at this.

"Look, I think Andrew Left is a charismatic guy," Ackman said. "And he made one of the great short calls ... ever. I give him enormous credit for that, and then he made a long call on Valeant, and then he made a short call on Valeant.

"What I find interesting is he never tells you what he does with his position. So obviously, he puts the trade on. He goes on CNBC says it's a short, then he covers and then he puts the position — buys some calls or goes long the stock and then he goes on TV and says it's a long, which he did, I don't know, maybe a month or two ago. And then I guess yesterday it's short again. I just feel like you guys are doing a very good job helping him make money on his portfolio."

And so Ackman, a man who regularly holds press conferences in packed auditoriums to discuss his portfolio, is accusing someone else of showboating.

What's really crazy here is that Ackman just described a principle of short selling as if it's something he's too good for. In discussions following the ruling, I mused with a friend on how quickly Left was in and out of positions. Neither of us were exactly sure how long he likes to hold. Maybe he's in and out of there, we thought.

The fact that we even wondered that means he's doing his job as a short seller, appearing and then disappearing from the market as he chooses.

Perhaps now Ackman will consider disappearance more carefully if he ever shorts a stock again.

But as I said, even some of the greatest investors in the world simply don't do it all. Perhaps Ackman is one of the great investors who doesn't know how to disappear.

SEE ALSO: What the heck happened to Bill Ackman

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ACKMAN: Actually, Herbalife is a pyramid scheme

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Bill Ackman

Bill Ackman is digging in.

After the Federal Trade Commission on Friday reached a settlement with Herbalife — the multilevel marketing company — Ackman's hedge fund said the findings "constitute a pyramid scheme."

The FTC specifically didn't call Herbalife a pyramid scheme. But, as Pershing Square's spokesman also said on Friday, the FTC also didn't not call it a pyramid scheme.

And the FTC did ask Herbalife to make some changes to its marketing and the way it rewards its members.

"While it appears that Herbalife negotiated away the words 'pyramid scheme' from the settlement agreement, the FTC's findings are clear," Pershing Square's statement said.

The activist investor has long framed Herbalife as a fraudulent company, placing a $1 billion short-sale bet against its stock and spending millions to convince others of its misdeeds. So Ackman had a lot to gain if the FTC had agreed to label Herbalife a pyramid scheme and shut it down.

Instead, he's losing money. Herbalife shares are up about 20% for the year so far, with half that gain coming after news of the settlement.

But the hedge fund isn't losing hope on its bet, saying that Herbalife's settlement includes a business restructuring that "will cause the pyramid to collapse as top distributors and others take their downlines elsewhere or otherwise quit the business."

On that front, Ackman may have a point. After all, if the changes the FTC asked for are fundamental enough to Herbalife's success, this could cause it trouble.

Under the settlement, Herbalife must get rid of incentives that reward distributors primarily for recruiting, the FTC said. The new compensation structure would depend on whether participants sell Herbalife products, not on whether they buy.

Time will tell — not that this is much comfort for Pershing Square's investors. The hedge fund was down about 20% last year off losing bets, its worst year ever, with similar losses continuing through this year.

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Not everyone in the hedge fund industry is miserable

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Boaz Weinstein

Not everyone in the hedge fund industry is miserable these days. 

Collectively, the industry has returned 1.6% through June, according to Hedge Fund Research. That's less than half the gains in the S&P 500.

And some of the industry's headline-grabbers are faring much worse: The flagship fund at Bridgewater Associates' dropped 12% through June. Billionaire investor Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management has had a particularly difficult year, with his one of his biggest bets — Valeant Pharmaceuticals — getting crushed, while a massive bet against Herbalife also went wrong 

This underperformance is a problem for investors. After all, the funds charge hefty fees — typically 2% of all assets, and a one-fifth cut of profits — often with the promise that they'll do better than the markets.

And we're hearing all kinds explanations for the collectively weak performance, like that it's a product of a lack of diversity in staffing.

One seemingly conflicting data point out this week, highlighted by my colleague Rachel Butt, is that even though hedge funds have been lagging for a few years, big investors in the industry — like pension funds and high-net-worth individuals — aren't pulling back in any noticeable way.

The explanation for this is actually pretty straightforward: Those investors may be pulling money out of poor performers, but they're rolling it back into the hedge funds that are actually doing well right now. And that's keeping overall assets in the industry steady.

Here's a short list of some of the funds that are bucking the trend:  

  • Quantedge Global Fund (quantitative global macro strategy): Quantedge Global Fund’s Class B shares returned 40.4% through June 30. The fund manages $1.3 billion, according to a person familiar with the matter.
  • Saba Capital (credit relative value strategy): Boaz Weinstein's flagship fund has returned about 10% through June, according to a person familiar with the $1.5 billion fund. 
  • Tulip Trend Fund (managed futures): Tulip Trend Fund (USD C-Class) is up 20.15% through June, according to a fund document obtained by Business Insider. The fund, which is overseen by Progressive Capital Partners in Switzerland, manages $298 million. Tulip’s returns have swung from red to green over the past few years, returning 35.53% in 2014 but dropping 10.65% last year, the document shows.
  • Mudrick Distressed Opportunities (distressed debt): The fund returned 16.96% through June, according to an HSBC report. That would be a turnaround from last year, as the fund was down for most of the year, according to Bloomberg. Mudrick didn't respond to a request for comment.
  • Man Group Numeric Investors (emerging-markets equity): The $1 billion emerging-markets equity fund was up 7.75% this year through June, people familiar with the matter previously told Business Insider.
  • Quest Partners (managed futures): The $624 million firm's flagship fund returned 18.34% through June, a performance document viewed by Business Insider shows. The fund is part of Quest's managed-futures strategy, which manages $325 million; $113 million of that is in the flagship fund, according to spokesman Max Hilton at Peregrine Communications, an external PR firm. 
  • Beachhead Capital Dynamic Beta (liquid alts CTA): This CTA strategy is up 11.4% net through July 8, according to Andrew Beer, the firm's CEO. The strategy is not technically a hedge fund, but a managed account with lower fees than traditional funds.

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Short-sellers are up $500 million on Netflix's stock price drop

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Netflix price drop

Netflix flopped on its earnings expectations and investors betting against the stock are making a boatload.

"With the stock down 15% in aftermarket trading, short sellers have made almost half a billion dollars on the stock price drop to $83.30," Ihor Dusaniwsky of S3 Partners, a financial analytics firm, told Business Insider in an email.

Hedge funds have been some of the most apt short sellers in the stock, according to a Goldman Sachs report from earlier this year.

When an investor is a "short seller," it means they are betting the stock price will go down.

There are also likely some hedge funders hurting on the Netflix news, however, as several managers held long positions in the stock. Tiger Global held a 4% stake while Viking Global held nearly a 2% stake in Netflix as of end of March, regulatory filings show. It's unclear if those funds still held their positions coming into Netflix's announcement.

 

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This investor is making serious money from pain in the hedge fund industry

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sale firesale everything must goWhen hedge fund investments go sour, Andrew Lawrence will sweeten things up.

Lawrence is the CEO of Rosebrook Capital Partners, a firm that buys positions in hedge funds from investors who — for one reason or another — need their money back fast.

Consider a recent pitch that Lawrence heard from an investor in Visium Asset Management, the one-time $8 billion firm that is shutting down amid an insider-trading investigation.

The investor was looking to sell their stake in Visium's Balanced Fund.

Visium suspended redemptions from its funds last month, and said that it would start returning investors' money in July.

But Visium also expected to hold 3% to 5% of investors' capital in a "reserve for possible liabilities and other contingencies" related to the SEC investigation.

Usually, when an investor wants out of a hedge fund, they get their money back directly from the fund manager. But those withdrawals — called redemptions — aren't always possible as quickly as the investor wants.

So an investor looking to sell their stake in the Visium fund to Rosebrook is hoping to get cash back before everything is settled, and for some certainty in the size of their redemption. For Rosebrook, the opportunity would be to buy that stake for less than Visium is planning to return — and profit from the difference.

Lawrence declined to say how much the Visium stake was worth, but did say that Rosebrook is unlikely to take up the offer because it prefers more "quotidian" situations, such as bad performance. That helps his firm avoid more complicated situations, such as regulatory probes, which may involve lawsuits with the firm.

Jacob Gottlieb Visium Capital Some funds have so-called lockup agreements that keep investors from pulling out before a year is up. Others require three months' notice, or prevent investors from pulling their assets all at once. The idea behind these restrictions is that a fund manager may have to sell off assets or pare back investments to get the cash for a redemption, and needs time to do so.

That's where Rosebrook steps in — offering another option for those who can't or don't want to wait.

The fund has around $280 million of firepower, including leverage, according to a filing from March.

Lawrence expects to see more investors looking to sell their stakes, particularly as pensions and sovereign wealth funds grow tired of underperformance. The industry has collectively returned 1.6% through June this year, less than half of the gains of the S&P 500.

Rosebrook's strategy can make boatloads of money, if played right. Rosebrook usually buys hedge fund stakes at $0.50 to $0.60 on the dollar, with hopes to get paid out later on by the hedge fund in full, Lawrence said.

So say an investor wanting out of a hedge fund has a $25 million stake. Rosebrook might offer to buy it for around $13 million, and will hope to get the difference later down the line.

Generally, there are three ways that Rosebrook and firms like it get a hold of illiquid stakes:

  • The investor looking to sell comes directly to Rosebrook.
  • The hedge fund asks Rosebrook to buy the unhappy investor's stake. Some hedge funds have long-term lockups that an investor may want out of sooner, for instance.
  • The secondary broker market.

While Rosebrook sees a buying opportunity, some numbers show that the secondary markets space for hedge funds has slowed down. Last year, the amount of traded hedge fund stakes in secondary markets dropped 67% from the year before, according to a report by Setter Capital, a Canadian investment bank.

That's related to the diminishing supply of side pockets, or separate accounts that hedge funds set up to separate illiquid investments from their main fund, the report said.

On the flip side, the secondary market has ballooned in recent years for private equity, where investors typically have to lock up their money for a decade.

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Investment behemoth PIMCO just made 2 big hires

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PIMCO CEO Doug Hodge.

PIMCO, the behemoth investment firm, just announced two big hires.

The Newport Beach, California, firm hired Danielle Luk as a portfolio manager from Credit Suisse, where she traded options as a director.

Before that, she was a senior trader at Morgan Stanley on its structured-rates team. She will focus on interest rate derivatives in her new role.

PIMCO also hired Tiffany Wilding as senior vice president and US economist.

She previously worked at Paul Tudor Jones' hedge fund, Tudor Investment Corporation, where she was the director of global interest rate research. She also previously worked at Morgan Stanley and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

"Danielle and Tiffany are examples of the top industry talent we continue to add to our global team of investment professionals," Dan Ivascyn, group chief investment officer, said in a statement.

"So far in 2016, PIMCO has hired more than 140 new employees around the world, in a broad range of areas from portfolio management to business development."

Those additions stand in contrast to layoffs PIMCO rolled out earlier this year, when it cut about 3% of its workforce, or 68 jobs, in a restructuring of its investment strategies.

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The cofounder of a $1.4 billion tech fund is going it alone

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space shuttle columbia launch liftoff

Seth Wunder, the cofounder of $1.4 billion Contour Asset Management, has left the firm and is in the early stages of planning a new hedge fund.

Wunder left Contour in June, and cofounder David Meyer has taken over his duties, according to a regulatory disclosure.

The New York hedge fund focuses on long and short stock investments in tech, media, and telecom companies.

Wunder is in the early stages of prepping a new hedge fund, Black and White Capital, in Los Angeles, according to three people familiar with the matter who declined to be named because the info is private. Wunder did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Contour's assets have recently dropped by about 6.7%, from $1.5 billion at the start of 2015 to $1.4 billion as of January 1, according to Hedge Fund Intelligence's Billion Dollar Club ranking.

A spokesman for Contour declined to comment.

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A star investor is launching a new hedge fund with the backing of his $3 billion former employer

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NASA Shuttle Carrier

A star investor at a $3 billion hedge fund is going it alone with the backing of his former employer.

Joe Cornell, a managing director at Chilton Investment Co., has left to launch an equity fund making long and short bets, according to three people familiar with the matter. The fund will use a generalist, fundamental strategy.

Richard Chilton and his firm are backing the New York-based startup, which is set to be called "Bluegrass Capital Partners."

"I have a lot of confidence in Joe's abilities," Chilton told Business Insider in an email.

Chilton launched his Stamford, Connecticut-based firm in 1992 with a focus on fundamental equity research.

Cornell worked at Chilton from 2011 up until this spring, and was promoted to managing director in January 2014, one of the people said. Before that, he was an investment analyst at Shumway Capital Partners from 2010 to 2011.

Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are set to be prime brokers on the launch, according to one of the people. Prime brokerage is a bank service that helps facilitate trades for hedge funds.

Cornell joins other hedge fund alums that are prepping new stock funds, including Seth Wunder of Contour Asset Management and Samantha Greenberg of Paulson & Co.

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A tiny clarification on the most positive thing Bill Ackman said during his conference call

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Bill Ackman CNBC

On Wednesday, Bill Ackman held a quarterly conference call for investors in his fund, Pershing Square.

And since his private funds are down 14% year to date and Pershing Square Holdings is down 18%, he didn't have that much good news to share.

Except for one thing: a new psoriasis drug from Valeant Pharmaceuticals called brodalumab. A Food and Drug Administration advisory panel recently recommended the drug be approved.

This was a "big week for the company in terms of drug developments," Ackman said, lauding the company for having one of the "most productive R&D developments of any company in the country."

You'll recall that Valeant's low R&D spending and high drug prices, combined with accusations of malfeasance from a short seller, has brought the stock down around 90% since October.

Since then, Ackman has basically taken control of the company, stacking the board and installing a new CEO, Joe Papa. The Valeant position makes up 6% of Ackman's portfolio and is down 23.5% for the quarter.

Side effects may include...

So you can imagine that any news about new revenue streams for the company should be welcomed with gusto. And that's what Ackman did. He said that brodalumab was almost killed by its original creator, Amgen, "despite its efficacy." Valeant then bought it for $100 million and partnered with AstraZeneca to take it to market.

The advisory panel, he said, unanimously voted to recommend approval of the drug — though there "was some disagreement about how to deal with some of the safety issues dealing with the drug," Ackman said.

Yeah, you bet there were. That's because the FDA's Division of Psychiatric Products found that brodalumab patients had a higher rate of suicide or suicidal ideation than patients taking other psoriasis drugs. Psoriasis is a dermatological condition — a bunch of red bumps on your skin.

Wells Fargo published a report on Wednesday morning discussing what the FDA division discovered:

"Four of the patients that completed suicide in the brodalumab trials had no history of anxiety, depression, or other psychiatric symptoms. The FDA's Division of Epidemiology found a three-fold higher completed suicide rate in brodalumab clinical trials compared to other psoriasis biologics. Potential risk management options suggested included a potential for a blackbox warning and/or mandatory participation in a registry with psychiatric symptoms being monitored."

That is why 14 of the 18 members on the advisory panel actually decided to "approve brodalumab but only if certain risk management options for suicidal ideation and behavior (SIB) beyond labeling are implemented."

Only four "approve[ed] brodalumab with labeling alone to manage the risks."

Wells Fargo thinks this may limit the number of people who would want to use the drug because it will require a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy and a restricted label.

So there's your good news.

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The hedge fund at the heart of an insider-trading scandal is winding down a key fund

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Ken Griffin

A big hedge fund transaction is hanging in the balance.

Visium Asset Management, a hedge fund at the heart of an insider-trading scandal that has outlined plans to shut down, in June inked a deal to sell one of its funds to AllianceBernstein.

Visium told investors on Wednesday that it will now unwind that fund, according to a person familiar with the matter, putting that transaction in doubt.

The firm is also changing its auditor to PKF O'Connor Davies from KPMG, the person said.

Visium Asset Management said that it would shut down after regulators said last month that several Visium employees had allegedly committed fraud and insider trading.

AllianceBernstein, which manages $487 billion, had been planning to buy one of Visium's main hedge funds, a global equity-focused fund that is not the target of regulators' inquiries.

Questions had been swirling around the proposed deal for some time. One person familiar with the matter said that the global fund is expected to drop significantly in assets as investors yanked their money from the fund. It managed more than $2 billion as of earlier this year.

Several of its key portfolio managers also had left even before the proposed deal was announced, including Rohit Shah, who is moving to Caxton Associates, and Arnaud Saint-Sauveur, who is set to move to Lombard Odier, people familiar with the matter previously told Business Insider.

Visium previously had a stringent non-compete policy for its employees who wished to work at competing firms, but had been loosening those terms ever since the firm came under fire, people familiar with the matter said.

That's a departure from last year, when Michael Kestenbaum, a portfolio manager on the global fund, looked to move to competitor Folger Hill and filed a suit against Visium to get out of his non-compete, according to public filings.

On Wednesday, Rob Copeland and Sarah Krouse at The Wall Street Journal reported that Ken Griffin's Citadel has hired 17 portfolio managers from Visium. They could start as early as August, according to the report.

Visium's global fund has been down this year, alongside the firm's flagship healthcare hedge fund. Through June 30, the global fund is down 4.85%, according to an investor update seen by Business Insider. The healthcare fund, Visium Balanced, which is the target of the insider-trading investigation, is down 10.75% over the same period.

Business Insider also reported this week that someone is trying to sell an investment in Visium Balanced's fund.

Representatives for Citadel and Visium did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

A representative for AllianceBernstein declined to comment on the state of the deal.

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Here are the star traders trying to become the hedge fund honchos of tomorrow

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space shuttle columbia launch liftoff

It may be tough to run a hedge fund, but that isn't stopping senior-level folks from trying to branch out on their own.

Here's a short and nonexhaustive list of some of the top new funds to have come across our radar.

The competition to raise assets is steep, particularly for startups that don't have long performance track records to woo investors. Instead, new managers often rely on the pedigrees of their previous employers and the backing of high-and-mighty investment titans to sway potential investors to open their checkbooks.

Recent data is not the most promising, however, with more hedge funds closing than opening. In 2015, 979 hedge funds closed their doors while 968 opened. This year through the first quarter, 291 have shut while 206 opened, Hedge Fund Research data shows.

But the glory of raising assets, running one's own proper business and investment strategy, and the (potentially very lucrative) benefit of charging high fees are alluring. At the moment, the global hedge fund industry is managing close to its peak in assets, at about $2.9 trillion, HFR says.

To the new startups, bon courage.

SEE ALSO: The hedge fund at the heart of an insider-trading scandal is winding down a key fund

Samantha Greenberg — Margate Capital

Samantha Greenberg, one of the hedge fund industry's most senior women, left Paulson & Co. and is starting Margate Capital, a long/short equity fund. She recently hired Jared Weisfeld from Balyasny Asset Management as a partner and is targeting $500 million when the firm launches later this year.



Ben Melkman

Ben Melkman, a former partner at Brevan Howard Asset Management, is launching a macro hedge fund in New York. The fund is targeting $400 million and a launch date in the first quarter of next year. The firm is bringing on Joe Mauro, a former Goldman Sachs partner.

Melkman was the lead manager on Brevan's $500 million Argentina fund, which has delivered 18% since its inception.



Josh Donfeld and Dave Rogers — Castle Hook Partners

Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller is backing duo Josh Donfeld and Dave Rogers in their new launch. It will be Druckenmiller's second-largest investment in a new hedge fund since he backed PointState Capital with $1 billion in 2011.

Donfeld and Rogers previously worked at George Soros' family office as portfolio managers. They are planning to launch New York-based Castle Hook Partners later this year or in the first part of next year.

Castle Hook will invest in equity, credit, commodities, interest rates, and foreign exchanges.



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

Billionaire investor Steve Cohen has a new mantra, and this is the guy enforcing it

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Vincent Tortorella

Steve Cohen has a new mantra: better to be safe than sorry.

Cohen's Point72 Asset Management is taking extra precautions to guard against wrongdoing after Cohen's predecessor hedge fund, SAC Capital Advisors, was shut down for insider trading.

Vincent "Vinny" Tortorella, a cheery Italian-American and former federal prosecutor, is the man charged with the task, having taken over as head of Point72's compliance and surveillance unit in 2014.

Cohen has given Tortorella a blank check to do whatever it takes to keep the firm straight, including an investigative team of more than 50 staffers, including ex-federal agents who track any potential rumors of wrongdoing – both at Point72 and at competitors.

It's a proactive, rather than reactive, strategy, Tortorella told Business Insider in an interview over lunch in Manhattan. Tortorella was accompanied by two of Cohen's in-house public relations pros, also another key to his firm's makeover.

Before the insider trading investigation at Visium Asset Management became public earlier this year, for instance, Point72 put a ban on hiring those who'd recently worked there on the investment side.

Visium isn't the only firm Point72 has banned, either. Tortorella declined to say who else made the list and when exactly the Visium ban came into effect.

Point72's Visium ban contrasts with its hedge fund rivals. Ken Griffin's Citadel, for instance, recently swooped up about 17 traders from one of Visium's funds. Lombard Odier and Caxton Associates also hired Visium traders. The portfolio managers appear to have worked at Visium's global fund, a multisector equity fund that wasn't named in regulators' charges.

Reps for Citadel declined to comment, and Lombard Odier and Caxton didn't respond.

Steve CohenPoint72 has good reason to keep strict protocol. The Securities and Exchange Commission in 2013 shut down its $16 billion predecessor, SAC Capital, banning the hedge fund from managing outside money. Cohen pleaded guilty to securities fraud and launched Point72 a year later as a family office to run his billions of wealth. A Cohen-led organization can accept outside investors' money again in 2018.

Since then, Cohen's firm has been beefing up its compliance.

"This can't ever happen again," Cohen told Tortorella when he hired him in 2014, Tortorella said.

The effort hasn't come cheap.

Cohen gave Tortorella veto powers on any potential hire, and Tortorella has used it on potential staffers who would likely have made major money for Point72. The cost of running Tortorella's team, which has grown by about 50% in the last two years, also comes to tens of millions of dollars a year, Tortorella said.

Point72's in-house surveillance team has, on occasion, fired employees who fell out of line, too. For instance, Point72 has restrictions on trading in personal accounts, and requires disclosure. Point72 fired an employee who hid a secret account.

Many in the industry scorn personal trading for the conflicts of interest that arise when traders make investments for themselves rather than for the firm.

Coincidentally, this was also an issue at Visium, where the founder, Jake Gottlieb, made a lucrative bet for himself on a trade the flagship fund also made, Business Insider reported last month. It's unclear if regulators are looking into that trade.

Jacob GottliebOther measures narrow the flow of info that Tortorella and his team have to sort through in tracking its traders. Tortorella banned instant messaging for analysts and portfolio managers, for instance. Data spying software also helps his team pick through huge flows of information.

Tortorella's team also watches how traders source their investments, such that a trader needs to back up how he or she got every piece of info leading up to a decision, Tortorella said.

Point72 isn't the first hedge fund that Tortorella has been tasked with monitoring.

He spent three and a half years at New York hedge fund Coatue Management as head of proprietary research and general counsel. Before that, he was the chief operating officer and general counsel at Guidepoint, an expert network, and a federal prosecutor in the Department of Justice's criminal division from 2004 to 2008.

The experience has given him a theory about who tends to commit insider trading.

It's not the best investors who are cheating, he said. It's those who are trying to keep their heads above water.

Correction: An earlier version of this story said Point72 had banned trading in personal accounts. It has not. It has restrictions in place, and requires disclosure. 

SEE ALSO: Here are the star traders trying to become the hedge fund honchos of tomorrow

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David Einhorn closed his investor letter with an interesting quote about Tesla

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David Einhorn

Greenlight Capital founder David Einhorn placed an interesting quote about Tesla at the end of this second-quarter investor letter.

He said:

"'We believe that Tesla's most valuable asset may be the trust it has built with its providers of capital,' — Adam Jonas (not one of the Jonas Brothers)"

Jonas is Morgan Stanley's most colorful auto analyst. He's been a big Tesla bull for years, though he's wavered a bit recently.

Last month, Jonas downgraded Tesla stock to equal weight on the news that it would acquire SolarCity, a flailing solar energy company cofounded by Elon Musk and helmed by his cousin, in an all stock deal. Musk said that this purchase was another step in his master plan to make Tesla a vertically integrated auto company.

Jim Chanos, of Kynikos Associates who is short Tesla stock, called the deal "shameful." Business Insider said it was a kick in the teeth to Tesla shareholders, who would have to take on SolarCity's problems as well as its $600 million in quarterly costs.

Because of that cash burn, analysts have posited that Tesla would have to return to the capital markets for cash.

And perhaps that's what Einhorn is getting at here. Perhaps he thinks that Tesla will have to call upon its generous friends in the market to survive, and that's a sign of weakness.

Or perhaps he means those friends can carry the company through. It's still very difficult to make money in this low-yield world, and Tesla stock or debt may continue to be a place where people want to park their money.

Musk has, after all, presented the world with a new plan for the next phase of his company. It's very ambitious and envisions a future where Tesla is constantly innovating the machines that make its machine. It sees a company of self-driving cars, Tesla trucks, and Tesla public transportation.

That takes a lot of cash, though.

For the full letter, head to ValueWalk >>

SEE ALSO: Elon Musk just kicked his shareholders in the teeth

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NOW WATCH: We tested an economic theory by trying to buy people's lottery tickets for much more than they paid

The hedge fund industry has a 'real problem,' but it's not the one you think

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Screen Shot 2016 07 26 at 11.57.59 AM

The hedge fund industry is struggling.

Poor performance,insider trading investigations, and the winding down of some marquee funds have marred the industry as of late and dominated headlines.

There is another problem, too, and it's one fewer people are talking about: all the money is going to a handful of funds, it is harder than ever to set up a new fund, and there is less diversity in the industry as a result.

Rory Hills, founder and partner of Hilltop Fund Management, touched on this in an interview with Raoul Pal of Real Vision TV.

Here's the relevant passage from the transcript:

Pal: "One of the things I notice ... is that new managers, people who have a specific expertise, they can't raise any money, and so they die off not because they aren't very good at what they do — it is because they have to last five or six years to build a track record running $10 million, and they can't pay their bills. It is almost impossible to survive unless you come from pedigree or you knock the ball out of the park immediately and maybe do it two years in a row."

Hills: "It is a real problem, a real problem for the industry. What we need is more platforms, the old-school kind that existed before the crisis but don't exist so much anymore. Cheyne is still going. That type of platform I think we need more of. More people who have the apparatus, particularly in this increasingly regulated world — it is so expensive for people to set up a new fund. I think there is a real role for new platforms, who have all the regulatory stuff, all the compliance, all the infrastructure, all of that set up so people can come in and switch on a Bloomberg. That has to be combined with a decent seeding level."

There are a couple of reasons why this is happening. Investors tend to be more comfortable investing in vanilla funds that have already reached a certain size. Hills said this was partly a result of funds of funds, which invest in a variety of hedge funds, putting manager selection in the hands of junior analysts.

Raoul Pal"I really believe that's the center of the problem," he said. "Junior analysts gravitate toward plain-vanilla-type strategies, relatively easy to understand, easy therefore to explain to investment committees. Sometimes these smaller, more niche managers are more complicated and not as easy to understand."

Hills has a reason to make this argument. He runs a fund of funds that avoids the big names and looks to put money in the other 90% of funds that don't get as much attention.

Still, the shift he is describing has long-term implications for the industry. Pal and Hills share the fear that the industry will "die" as people continue to allocate to the big managers and new managers with specific expertise can't survive.

"One household name over here," Hills said, "is of the view it will just go back to the way it was 30 years ago — 100 hedge funds with mostly high-net-worth-type individuals as investors."

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David Einhorn is up against the short seller who brought down Valeant

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David Einhorn, founder and president of Greenlight Capital, speaks during the Sohn Investment Conference in New York in this file photo dated May 4, 2015. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

In his second-quarter letter to investors, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn disclosed that he is long Chemours.

The stock is up 7% on the news.

Andrew Left, the short seller from Citron Research whose questions brought Valeant Pharmaceuticals to its knees last October, disclosed a short position in the company in June.

So we have ourselves a bit of a tiff here.

First, a little about Chemours: It's a chemicals company that DuPont spun off into its own company. Greenlight started buying it during the fourth quarter of 2015, right before its stock price fell to $3 a share in January (down from $16). Then it started to recover.

Left says the stock is a loser because a class-action lawsuit could bankrupt Chemours. He also said that the company is levered up too high and lacks the cash to pay for its defense.

From Left (emphasis ours):

"No one has an exact dollar figure yet on the extent of the liabilities of this debacle. While Chemours only accounts for $20 million of overhang on its balance sheet, most Wall Street analysts estimate the liability to fall more inline with the $500 million figure.

"But we always hear the value $5 billion being thrown around by social activists like the 'Keep Your Promises DuPont' campaign, which has pegged environmental costs just for Parkersburg WV at $1 billion. After speaking in depth with community activists, Citron believes that even $5 billion may be a low number ..."

Einhorn and Greenlight disagree. In his letter, Einhorn pointed out that the richer parent company, DuPont, is the defendant in this case, not Chemours.

And the letter threw a little shade at Left, too.

"We inquired about the $5 billion estimate, and the author of the report acknowledged that there was no math to justify the figure. After considerable work and engaging our own outside experts, who estimate the liability to be only several hundred million dollars, we believe [Chemours'] debt and liability to be manageable," Einhorn wrote.

This should be fun to watch.

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NOW WATCH: Billionaire private-equity CEO David Rubenstein says Britain will almost certainly go into a recession and the US may follow

This is what it's like when the 1% go to jail, according to a couple that ministers to their families

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Jeff Grant and Lynn Springer

Shame. Ostracism. A shift to food stamps.

This is a harsh reality for the families of white-collar criminals — hedge fund managers convicted of insider trading, or bankers nabbed for embezzlement.

Sure, these are some of the world's most privileged people, and incarceration certainly ruins lives across the economic spectrum.

So these "one-percenters" garner no public sympathy. But that also means their families are left with few resources and little guidance on how to face the jarring change of losing — very often — a sole source of income and an entire social network.

In Greenwich, Connecticut, one of the US's richest cities, a ministry is trying to provide that help.

Jeff Grant, a former corporate lawyer who served nearly 14 months in prison after pleading guilty in 2006 to wire fraud and money laundering, launched Progressive Prison Ministries with his wife. The two work with hedge fund managers, corporate lawyers, doctors, and their spouses across the country.

"They're coming in droves," Grant told Business Insider, adding that he received at least one inquiry a day. "People need help."

Practical guidance

That help can range from financial support to emotional support. And sometimes it's just practical guidance on how to obtain help that is already available — but perhaps was once unthinkable.

The ministry helped one Connecticut wife who could no longer afford food or have her driveway plowed in the winter, pointing her to food stamps and subsidies for the heating bill, Grant and his wife, Lynn Springer, said. Regulators froze the wife's bank accounts after her husband was charged with a crime, they said.

The ministry offers an uncommon service, given that white-collar criminals and their families have little social support other than online forums.

Lisa Lawler, a blogger who runs a support site called the White Collar Wives Club, highlighted the misconceptions surrounding the wives of criminals.

Andrew Caspersen"The truth is that white collar crime knows no professional or economic boundary,"she wrote on her blog. "Nonetheless, white collar wives are mostly seen as entitled, spoiled and undeserving of pity and in most cases, are not considered victims at all."

But the cases she describes are harrowing, like that of a woman in her mid-70s, whom she calls Susan, whose husband's conviction left her homeless and estranged from her only daughter. Lawler wrote that she couldn't locate Susan, ever since she was kicked out of a motel she was living in.

"White collar wives are blindsided by their husband's criminal activity and often have little opportunity to get our from under the fallout unless they act quickly," she wrote. "Susan's husband may be incarcerated, but he has a roof over his head."

Springer works with the wives and families of the mostly male white-collar criminals, while Grant organizes weekly call-in video sessions for the men, some of whom have recently returned from prison.

Though the ministry has a Christian bent, Grant, a Jewish convert, says he accepts anyone. Some attendees are Jewish, one participant said. They discuss rejection, loss, and how to move forward.

Returning to a previous career is often not an option, so Grant helps attendees find new routes. In one case, he helped a former hedge funder go to school for social work to become a drug counselor.

"This is not an atypical situation," Grant said.

Grant was barred from practicing law, and he opted to become a minister.

'Painfully alone'

Reentering old social circles is often not an option, either. And that requires adjustment, according to Bill, one of Grant's participants who, before going to prison, headed a New York investment firm. He spoke with Business Insider on the condition that we use only his first name.

"I walked with the wealthiest people on the planet," Bill said as he sat on a park bench across 15 Central Park West, one of Manhattan's toniest addresses. "All of a sudden, that just evaporates ... Everybody knows one another. There's no anonymity in New York City."

Bill returned from a 20-month prison sentence in Pennsylvania last year, and he said he felt fortunate. His wife stayed with him, though they rarely take part in what they once loved about the city, like dining out, he said.

Martoma"Your identity is wrapped up in what you do and who you know," he said. "That's all gone."

The ministry's group video meetings have helped. Bill says he finds the meetings therapeutic.

"You realize you're not the only one traveling on this highway," he said.

A wife of a Connecticut hedge fund manager who is in prison said she wished she had found support sooner. She also requested anonymity.

"You are painfully alone when this happens," she told Business Insider in an email.

Time has helped the shock of having her husband go through the legal process — from the day the federal investigation was announced up until the guilty verdict.

"The shock was unreal," she said. "At some point, though, survival instincts took over. With having had close friends bury their children and other friends fighting cancer, I knew that no matter how horrible it may have seemed my life had become, we all were healthy and had an unshakable love for one another."

She became the sole breadwinner for her family. Working with Springer at the ministry has helped with the shame.

"You only feel shame if you let yourself," she said.

"I've never been a big fan of public prayer," she added, "but Lynn has an incredible gift and prays with me when we meet."

Grant has also helped her prep for when her husband returns from prison, she added.

Indeed, prison is often just the first step in a new chapter.

"It wasn't the beginning of the end," Bill said of his time served. "It was the end of the beginning."

SEE ALSO: The hedge fund at the heart of an insider-trading scandal is winding down a key fund

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Leon Cooperman published an epic 48-page note to investors explaining why everything is fine

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Leon Cooperman

Leon Cooperman's Omega Advisors released a 48-page investment outlook last week.

And for all the fiddling over post-Brexit markets and the risks of a Chinese currency devaluation, Omega doesn't think there's much to worry about, according to the note, which was co-written by Omega's vice chairman, Steve Einhorn.

The bulk of Omega's assets are invested in US equities. As of year-end 2015, the New York hedge fund managed about $6.7 billion, a decrease of about a quarter from the year before, according to the Hedge Fund Intelligence Billion Dollar Club ranking.

"Though a short-term correction in US shares would not be surprising, nor would a several month pause, we remain okay with US shares," the letter said.

Omega has forecast that the S&P 500 will deliver a total return of 5% to 8% this year. The actual performance so far this year is a little over 6%. Still, Omega isn't cutting its bets.

It added:

"Even though the year-to-date S&P 500 total return is within a few percent of our expected return for this year, we continue to believe that the S&P 500 outlook will be a friendly one, even as US shares may pause for a while. Why? Because we expect that the in-place US equity market advance can last for quite a while longer than this year. Though we understand the difficulty in offering up a longer-term market outlook, particularly given the geo-political uncertainties and challenges surrounding the US and other regions, our assessment of fundamentals suggests that US shares should grind higher through 2017 and, perhaps, in the years thereafter."

The letter then addressed multiple potential problems, ranging from inflation to exogenous shocks triggered by Brexit and China. In every case, the letter said the market would be just fine.

Here are some relevant excerpts from Omega's note (emphasis ours):

No bear market in sight

"Critical to our view that US shares can grind higher for quite some time is our assessment of our US bear market checklist. We introduced this bear market checklist quite some time ago. The arrival of a bear market in US shares typically requires:

  • Accelerating and problematic inflation.
  • Very tight/hostile monetary policy.
  • The prospect of recession.
  • Investor exuberance.
  • Speculative equity market pricing relative to interest rates and inflation.

"None of the items of this bear market checklist are with us currently nor do we expect their arrival anytime soon."

Little inflation on the horizon

"The current inflation landscape in the US is benign and we expect inflation (core personal consumption deflator) to range between 1.5% - 2.5% over the coming year; we define this range of inflation as sweet-spot because it is sufficient to underpin moderate corporate revenue growth but not so rapid as to frighten the Federal Reserve or the bond market.

"We do not expect a problematic rate of inflation nor any sharp acceleration in it."

The strong dollar should help S&P 500 revenue

"We entered 2016 believing that the dollar would be in a trading range and experience a flat-like trend for most of the coming year. So far, this has been a correct view. If sustained, this dollar outlook should benefit S&P 500 revenue and earnings growth, China/emerging market economies that have borrowed in dollars, oil and other commodity prices, and US GDP growth via better export growth."

Brexit will have a limited impact

"We do not see Brexit impacting US/Euro area/global economic growth in an important way and regional financial conditions indices are supportive of this. We expect a forceful response of monetary policy in the U.K./Euro area/U.S. in response to the Brexit vote and some of this has been implemented already. ...

"The UK economy accounts for approximately 3% of global GDP. With respect to the US, the impact of Brexit on our GDP growth is minimal, estimated at just .1% - .2% over the coming four quarters. This should be of no relevance to our equity market. More importantly, the UK accounts for under 4% of S&P 500 earnings per share and we estimate that the Brexit dent to earnings growth over the coming year is a minor 1% - 2%. Brexit, in our view, is not an exogenous shock that is particularly relevant to US shares or the US economy."

The threat from China has been exaggerated

"We are not all that concerned by yuan weakness to the dollar and do not think yuan devaluation is an exogenous shock that can derail the in-place advance in US share prices. First, countries experience currency depreciation and appreciation all the time. These currency fluctuations have not historically derailed developed-economy equity markets ...

"Even though a slowing in Chinese economic activity has been widely expected as this transition unfolded, the slowing, at times, has frightened global investors because of its supposed big impact on US economic activity. We believe this concern of global investors is exaggerated and unwarranted.

US earnings will improve

"We have the following observations with respect to earnings and profit margins. First, we believe that the growth in year-over-year S&P 500 earnings per share bottomed in the first quarter and year-over-year growth should accelerate over the next year aided by a developing recovery in the manufacturing sector, higher commodity prices, and less dollar headwind. We expect S&P 500 earnings per share growth this year of between 3% - 5%; second, the widespread commentary of an earnings recession in the US is an exaggeration."

SEE ALSO: Billionaire investor Steve Cohen has a new mantra, and this is the guy enforcing it

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Bridgewater slams The New York Times and calls its story a 'distortion of reality'

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ray dalio

Bridgewater Associates has fired back at The New York Times for its recent story on the company's culture, "At World's Largest Hedge Fund, Sex, Fear and Video Surveillance."

"Although we continue to be reluctant to engage with the media, we again find ourselves in the position of being left with no choice but to respond to sensationalistic and inaccurate stories, both to make clear what is true and to do our part in fighting against the growing trend of media distortion," the company said in a statement.

"To let such significant mischaracterizations of our business stand would be unfair to our hard-working employees and valued clients who understand the reality of our culture and values," the statement added.

It said that New York Times reporters Alexandra Stevenson and Matthew Goldstein "never made a serious attempt to understand how we operate," and that they weaved together disparate stories in order to create a sensationalized image of the $154 billion investment firm.

The New York Times story, which was published on Tuesday, drew from a complaint with the Connecticut Commission on Human Rights and Opportunities, in which a 34-year old Bridgewater employee named Christopher Tarui, who is currently on leave, accuses a superior of sexual harassment.

Bad things happen behind closed doors

Tarui says that the company, which has a culture of "radical transparency" in which every meeting is recorded, tried to get him to withdraw his complaint. Intimidation is a focal point of the NYT story, which also includes interviews with seven former employees and a filing with the National Labor Relations Board.

What seemed clear from the story was that Bridgewater's constant surveillance actually acted as a form of enforcing self-censorship.  Bridgewater does not see it that way.

"The New York Times portrayed our taping of meetings as creating 'an atmosphere of constant surveillance . . . that silence[s] employees who do not fit the mold.' It is well known that Bridgewater's taping of meetings is instead done to enable employees to hear virtually all discussions happening at the firm for themselves," the firm said in its statement.

It continued: "We make these tapes available to employees because we believe strongly that in order to have a real idea meritocracy, people need to see and hear things for themselves rather than through the spin of others.  We also believe that bad things happen behind closed doors so that such transparency is healthy."

It also touted a recent anonymous employee survey in which "employees rated their agreement with the statement 'I believe that Bridgewater's culture and principles are key to its success" a 4.4 out of 5."

Bridgewater also said that parts of the NYT report were patently false. Specifically, it said that employees are not sometimes asked to lock away their personal cell phones, unless they are on the trading floor, in which case that is standard practice for the industry. It also said that the firm had not lost billions due to performance.

Bridgewater sent us the full statement, originally published on LinkedIn:

Although we continue to be reluctant to engage with the media, we again find ourselves in the position of being left with no choice but to respond to sensationalistic and inaccurate stories, both to make clear what is true and to do our part in fighting against the growing trend of media distortion. To let such significant mischaracterizations of our business stand would be unfair to our hard-working employees and valued clients who understand the reality of our culture and values.

While we all would hope that we could count on the Times for accurate and well-documented reporting, sadly, its article "Sex, Fear, and Video Surveillance at the World's Largest Hedge Fund" doesn't meet that standard. In this memo we will give you clear examples of the article's distortions. We cannot comment on the specific case raised in the article due to restrictions we face as a result of ongoing legal processes and our desire to maintain the privacies of the people involved for fear that they too will be tried in the media through sensationalistic innuendos. Nonetheless, we can say that we are confident that our management handled the case consistently with the law and we look forward to its successful resolution through the legal process.

To understand the background of this story, you should know that the New York Times reporters never made a serious attempt to understand how we operate. Instead they intentionally strung together a series of misleading "facts" in ways they felt would create the most sensationalistic story. If you want to see an accurate portrayal of Bridgewater, we suggest that you read examinations of Bridgewater written by two independent organizational psychologists and a nationally-renowned management researcher. (See An Everyone Culture by Robert Kegan; Learn or Die by Edward Hess; and Originals by Adam Grant.)

Rather than being the "‘cauldron of fear and intimidation'" the New York Times portrayed us as, Bridgewater is exactly the opposite. Bridgewater is well known for giving employees the right to speak up, especially about problems, and to make sense of things for themselves. Everyone is encouraged to bring problems to the surface in whatever ways they deem to be most appropriate. To be more specific, our employees typically report their business problems and ideas in real time through a public "issue log" and a company-wide survey that is administered quarterly. More sensitive matters are reported through an anonymous "complaint line," and all employees have access to an Employee Relations team charged with being a closed, confidential outlet outside of the management chain for handling issues of a personal nature.

The New York Times portrayed our taping of meetings as creating "an atmosphere of constant surveillance . . . that silence[s] employees who do not fit the mold." It is well known that Bridgewater's taping of meetings is instead done to enable employees to hear virtually all discussions happening at the firm for themselves. We make these tapes available to employees because we believe strongly that in order to have a real idea meritocracy, people need to see and hear things for themselves rather than through the spin of others. We also believe that bad things happen behind closed doors so that such transparency is healthy.

While we acknowledge that this culture of openness is not for everyone, our employees overwhelmingly treasure this way of operating. In our most recent anonymous survey, employees rated their agreement with the statement "I believe that Bridgewater's culture and principles are key to its success" a 4.4 out of 5. Many of our employees say they wouldn't want to work anywhere else because they so appreciate our unique idea meritocracy in which meaningful work and meaningful relationships are pursued through radical truth and transparency. The New York Times article doesn't square with common sense. If Bridgewater was really as bad as the New York Times describes, then why would anyone want to work here?

The New York Times said that some employees "are required to lock up their personal cellphones each morning when they arrive at work" which made it sound like employees can't carry their phones around with them like employees at other companies do. This is wrong. The truth is that the vast majority of our employees freely carry around their cell phones; the only place they can't is on our trading floor, where cell phones are prohibited. This policy is to protect the confidentiality of trades in order to protect our clients' money.

The New York Times said that the company's culture makes it impossible for employees to have matters handled confidentially. That is also wrong. As stated above, we have clearly defined channels for reporting private matters that have been utilized by many employees over the years. These matters have always been kept confidential.

The New York Times said "over the last two years, the firm has lost billions of dollars for investors as a result of mixed performance." That is wrong as well. In 2015, our Pure Alpha fund had its 15th consecutive year of positive returns. This year, year-to-date, we have made $1.3 billion for our clients across our strategies. While that is less than expected, it is within our stated range of expectations. Notably, our clients who know us well have demonstrated their confidence in us by investing $12 billion in new assets over the last seven months.

Concerning legal matters, because Bridgewater is culturally committed to the pursuit of truth, we have always had a strong preference to not "settle" claims but rather to be judged by the appropriate legal or regulatory system, even though that is not the expedient thing to do. Like many organizations, we encounter frivolous claims made in an effort to extract financial gain. Most companies prefer to settle them because it saves time and legal costs—and avoids the sort of distorted publicity that we are now encountering. We choose to contest them instead. At the same time, we have clear policies and standards of behavior, and when we discover behavior inconsistent with them, we act decisively. We are proud to say that in our 40 year history we have had no material adverse judgments.

We are far from perfect and we like to raise our imperfections to the surface so that we can deal with them honestly and transparently, while also protecting personal privacy. This approach is controversial and gives the media a lot of material to pick from to mischaracterize, but we believe that in the long run it is the best way for improving. It has been the biggest reason for our success. We look forward to continue being judged by our employees, our clients, and the legal and regulatory parties who are responsible for overseeing our behaviors, rather than by the media.

SEE ALSO: Ray Dalio, head of the world's largest hedge fund, explains his succession plan for Bridgewater and how its 'radically transparent' culture is misunderstood

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The scariest part of Bridgewater isn't surveillance

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Ray Dalio

People have been talking about Bridgewater Associates and its culture of surveillance for years, and in general it has been met with skepticism and derision.

That has been the case again over the last few days. The $154 billion investment firm helmed by Wall Street legend Ray Dalio has yet again been confronted with decidedly bad press about its corporate culture.

In a New York Times story published on Tuesday called "At World's Largest Hedge Fund, Sex, Fear and Video Surveillance," reporters detail the firm's efforts to squash a sexual harassment claim now making its way through the Connecticut Commission on Human Rights and Opportunities.

Bridgewater called this story a "distortion of reality"— but only part of it. The firm has always proudly owned the part of its culture where everything is recorded, either on audio or video, in the name of what its founder calls "radical transparency."

According to the "principles" Dalio has also set out for the company, this is also supposed to encourage an environment in which people challenge each other's ideas and feel that there's an open dialogue.

Here's an example, from the New York Times report:

"It is routine for recordings of contentious meetings to be archived and later shown to employees as part of the company’s policy of learning from mistakes. Several former employees recalled one video that Bridgewater showed to new employees that was of a confrontation several years ago between top executives including Mr. Dalio and a woman who was a manager at the time, who breaks down crying."

Dalio has argued that this allows problems and weaknesses to rise to the surface and be dealt with objectively.

To me, the use of this logic is even scarier than the surveillance itself.

In the last few years researchers have learned more and more about the powerful connection between surveillance and silence, minority opinions, and self-censorship. For that we can thank Edward Snowden, the former NSA employee who leaked details about Prism, a far-reaching clandestine surveillance program designed to ensnare terrorists.

What the program's leak did was bring a crucial discussion about the nature of privacy in America — a discussion about what is and what is not acceptable within our values construct — to the the forefront of public discourse.

Had Bridgewater's culture been thrown into that conversation, it would have undoubtedly been judged outside of acceptable American privacy norms.

Bridgewater is not what we are; it's what millions of Americans fear we might become.

Silence scholarship

The selling point of the NSA's Prism program was simple — it's meant to keep us safe. In exchange for an invasion of privacy, Americans are supposed to believe that their lives may be spared from violence.

Yet according to Pew research, only 40% of Americans back the program. Being spied on is something we just don't like. Those that are OK with it, though, tend to take the "nothing to hide" argument. They don't care if the government is watching them because they don't care what the government sees.

This line of thinking was tackled in the San Diego Law Review in 2007 by DJ Solove. He said that people need privacy not because they have things they want to hide, but because they are concerned with "concealing information about themselves that others might use to their disadvantage."

That can include anything from when your kids will be with a babysitter to when you plan on going the dentist's for a root canal.

But again, 40% of Americans are willing to set this fear aside because they feel their lives are in danger. At Bridgewater, the rationale for surveillance is obviously thinner. It's sold as a part of a corporate culture — one that pays very handsomely.

More research tells us that this dedication to surveillance does not breed a culture of openness, but rather one of fear and suppression.

In a study published earlier this year called "Under Surveillance: Examining Facebook’s Spiral of Silence Effects in the Wake of NSA Internet Monitoring," Elizabeth Stoycheff examined what surveillance does to speech.

"Theoretically, it adds a new layer of chilling effects to the spiral of silence," Stoycheff wrote. "This is the first study to provide empirical evidence that the government’s online surveillance programs may threaten the disclosure of minority views and contribute to the reinforcement of majority opinion."

Asymmetrical information and asymmetrical power

Now consider the power dynamics at Bridgewater. Instead of the government watching you, it's your boss. Stoycheff's subjects silenced their opinions because they perceived there may be retaliation. But in reality, the government was/is far more disconnected from these people than, say, their employers.

Your employer can really mess with you.

Stoycheff's study found that people don't speak up for fear of two things. One is social isolation. Applied to Bridgewater, in the gentlest way, think of this as being afraid no one will hang out with you at the office holiday party.

The other fear is one Bridgewater can conjure far more easily than the government can.

"Fear of isolation, as traditionally measured, taps an individual's concern of being alienated from other members of society, but does not address fear of alienation or prosecution from the government. Csikszentmihalyi (1991) argues that social isolation is a minimal concern compared to material sanctions that government is capable of enacting, like losing one's job or instigating legal consequences," Stoycheff writes (emphasis ours).

It goes without saying that the powers that be at Bridgewater have their employee's livelihoods hanging directly in the balance. Legal consequences are also on the table. Radical transparency serves as a reminder that what is being said is also being judged, and judgments have consequences.

This is how fear, though it is often imperceptible to the naked eye, is silently passed from one person to another like a message sent through a cold tin can. This is fear dancing on an invisible wire, regulating every employee with the same subliminal message.

It says: "Do not speak unless you agree."

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